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Democratic Committee Meeting

Wednesday, August 4, 2010

Average Losses or WORSE!!!!

Midterm elections are elections in the United States in which members of United States Congress (including all 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives and full terms for 33 or 34 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate), and some state legislatures and governors are elected, but no presidential election is held. Thirty-four of the 50 U.S. states elect their governors to four-year terms during midterm elections, while Vermont and New Hampshire elect governors to two-year terms in both midterm and presidential elections. Thus, 36 governors are elected during midterm elections. Many states also elect officers to their state legislatures and county offices every two years, in both mid-term and presidential election years. Special elections are often held in conjunction with regular elections, so additional Senators and governors may be elected to partial terms.



Midterm elections occurs on the Tuesday following the first Monday in November (Election Day) in between the quadrennial (four-year) elections for the President of the United States.   

The next midterm elections are scheduled for November 2, 2010.


Midterm elections are sometimes regarded as a referendum on the sitting president's and/or incumbent party's performance. They usually don't turn out well for the party of the president; over the past 17 midterm elections, the president's party has lost an average 28 seats in the House, and an average 4 seats in the Senate.


-------------Presidents------House-----------Senate


Year------------Party--------Results---------Results

2006--------------R-----------R-30-------------R-6


2002--------------R-----------R+8--------------R+2

1998--------------D-----------D+5---------------0

1994--------------D-----------D-54-------------D-8

1990--------------R-----------R-8--------------R-1


1986--------------R-----------R-5--------------R-8


1982--------------R-----------R-26--------------0

1978--------------D-----------D-15-------------D-3

1974--------------R-----------R-48-------------R-4

1970--------------R-----------R-12-------------R+1

1966--------------D-----------D-48-------------D-3

1962--------------D-----------D-4--------------D+2

1958--------------R-----------R-48-------------R-12

1954--------------R-----------R-18-------------R-2

1950--------------D-----------D-28-------------D-5

1946--------------D-----------D-54-------------D-12

1942--------------D-----------D-45-------------D-8
 
 
40% hardcore partisan republicans will vote republican


40% hardcore partisan democrats will vote democrat


The election will be decided by the 20% who are independent and who cast their vote based on how happy they are with the candidates and the job they have done.


They are usually not happy with the party in power and as the chart
shows the president's party (in this case President Obama) has lost an average 28 seats in the House and 4 seats in the Senate.


Going for us is the general nuttiness of the Tea Party who pull the strings  of the GOP.


Against us are recent Supreme Court decisions unshackling corporate contributions, business and conservative groups

are preparing a flood of campaign money to try to wrest control of Congress from the Democrats.


The U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the biggest collection point for corporate contributions, has increased its spending for the congressional election in November from $35 million in 2008 to a projected $75 million this year. Officials say it may go even higher.


The chamber has been joined by new conservative fundraising organizations — such as American Crossroads, affiliated with Republican strategist Karl Rove — that have committed to raising tens of millions of dollars.


One report circulating among Democratic leaders on Capitol Hill last week estimated that more than $300 million has been budgeted for the campaign by a group of 15 conservative tax-exempt organizations.


"A commitment of $300 million from just 15 organizations is a huge amount, putting them in record territory for groups on the right or left," said Sheila Krumholz, executive director of the nonpartisan Center for Responsive Politics, which tracks campaign contributions. "With control of Congress hanging in the balance, this kind of spending could have a major impact."


The money's power is magnified because it will be concentrated in a relatively small number of swing states and districts.    Of the 435 House and 37 Senate seats at issue in November, about 100 House seats and 18 in the Senate are considered competitive.


The conservative fundraising commitment has stunned Democrats.


"It's raising the alarm bell," said Rep. Chris Van Hollen (D-Md.), chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which spent $177 million in all of 2008 for congressional races.


Labor unions and allied liberal groups also plan to spend heavily. The Service Employees International Union, for example, has budgeted $44 million on election-related spending this year.


But the momentum and the new money appear — at least at this moment — to be coming from business and its all allies.


The real problem is not money but that democrats must run on their achievements which are not popular even with democrats.    Any and everything the democrats passed was so watered down and weakened that progressive democrats disown it and it is now common knowledge that neither party will end the war.    


Our nation could stand some nation building but there is no money for that task here at home as it is being spent in 3rd world countries.


Watching Obama and the democrats negotiate is painfull. They start by giving something big away for which they get nothing in return. From there they spend months allowing ammendments from republicans who weaken and gut the legislation and then in the end vote against it.     Then they weaken it further to get the two republican votes they need or to cajole Joe Liberman or Ben Nelson to support the bill.


In the end no one likes the result and the democrats followed the same path over and over again in every negotation for the past two years.


Now it election time and democrat voters aren't excited and the party leaders don't have a clue.


Democrats have failed to explain the bills they passed to the public and worse have allowed the republicans to provide the explaination.


Pretty words and nice speeches only go so far but they are not a substitute for grit and determination and backbone.


Democrats have failed to defend themselves when attacked by republicans and who believes a person who won't defend themselves will stand up and defend and represent you?


So Whats it gonna be, Average Losses or WORSE!!!!!

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